BANGKOK 20 April 2026 (The Capital Post) – The ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) has warned that rising inflation risks linked to global geopolitical tensions highlight the urgent need for deeper ASEAN economic integration to strengthen regional resilience.
AMRO said prolonged external shocks—particularly from energy market disruptions and ongoing global conflicts—could push inflation higher across the region while also weighing on economic growth, depending on the severity and duration of these developments.
The research body noted that ASEAN+3 economies are entering 2026 from a relatively stable position, supported by low inflation, steady domestic demand and strong export performance, especially in electronics and AI-related sectors. However, it cautioned that these strengths may be challenged by volatile global conditions.
According to AMRO, the region’s inflation is projected to gradually rise in the coming years as global energy prices remain elevated and some economies adjust subsidies, increasing pressure on household costs.
The organisation stressed that stronger intra-regional trade, investment linkages and coordinated policy frameworks are essential to cushioning ASEAN economies against external shocks. It argued that deeper integration would help reduce vulnerability to supply chain disruptions and energy price fluctuations.
-Advertisement-
AMRO also highlighted that while ASEAN+3 economies still retain some fiscal and monetary policy space, governments must strike a careful balance between supporting growth and maintaining price stability in an increasingly uncertain global environment.
Economists within the institution further noted that strengthening regional economic ties would improve long-term resilience, particularly as global fragmentation and geopolitical risks continue to reshape trade and investment flows.
The call adds momentum to ongoing discussions among ASEAN members on accelerating regional integration efforts, including trade facilitation, financial cooperation and supply chain connectivity, as the bloc seeks to secure more stable and sustainable growth.-The Capital Post